Three months ago I set a goal to win Wordle in one guess. I created a spreadsheet to analyze the official list of words, then input all the previous guesses. Finally, I chose a word based on its unique pattern of consonants and vowels.
And then I heard an interview with the creator of Wordle where he confirmed the answers are randomly chosen so even he doesn’t know the answer.
But I also heard the New York Times, who bought Wordle, changed one of the words since it was a sensitive topic. So, it’s probably 99.99 percent random.
At any rate, I achieved my goal today.
Wordle 411 1/6
If there’s anything to be learned from this achievement it’s that people aren’t good at dealing with randomness. In order to become an expert at something, you need to first be operating in a valid environment. Wordle in one guess is too random to be a valid environment.
Give a human a choice between two randomly determined outcomes, where choice A wins 80 percent of the time and choice B wins 20 percent of the time, and the average human will win 63 percent of the time. They can’t stop trying to figure out when choice B is going to hit.
The strategy to winning at Wordle is to choose one word and stick with it until it hits.
I think I had a one-guess solve once while I was playing. I would have kept playing had the NYT not screwed up my streak in the switchover. I haven’t played it since. You simply don’t mess with my streak.