Working under uncertainty

Maybe doing the opposite of what I’ve been doing all along is what I need to do, since nothing is working anyway.

Re-reading my post this day last year got me thinking just that:

Work under uncertainty:

• Hard work → Trial & error
• Focus → Many things at once
• Optimization → 80/20 rule
• Consistency → Intensity
• Avoid distractions → Embrace randomness
• Practice 10,000 hrs → 100 bets
• Goals → Stay in the game
• Efficiency → Slack in the system

– @davassallo

Less working under certainty, more working under uncertainty.

Instead of hunkering down on what I think is the solution to the problem, try many experiments and make errors to learn fast.

Instead of focusing on one thing like squeezing 30min of building a SaaS everyday, I just try a random idea for the day or the week, vibecode it for 30min a day and ship for fun.

Instead of trying to optimize everything, try 80/20 it - do 20% of the things that bring 80% results.

Instead of being consistent over years, try intensity for a day or a week.

Instead of avoiding distractions altogether, embrace some randomness each day or each week. Spend some time on X, visit some place new, try an experiment I never thought to.

Instead of 10k hours over years on one or a few things, try 100 bets. Go for volume.

Instead of trying to hit $10k/m, just try to stay in the game, keep the cash runway going through freelance, and slowly try things indefinitely.

Instead of being efficient, try being lazy and having no plans for free time for a bit.

Nothing works now anyway.

What do I have to lose?